Uncomfortable-Bid-Illusion
0x108d0255f6b0c9cfe6b988c90f42f2d9beeec693
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$93.55
Total PnL
$-26.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
30 shares @ 49.7¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 5, 2026$26.13
$11.13
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
48 shares @ 21.0¢·now 20.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.57
$-0.43
- YES
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $146-$148 on the final day of trading of the week of May 4 – May 8?
69 shares @ 14.4¢·now 12.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$8.32
$-1.68
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on May 5?
14 shares @ 22.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp May 5, 2026$7.43
$4.43
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
33 shares @ 15.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp May 12, 2026$4.83
$-0.17
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?
23 shares @ 13.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$4.04
$1.04
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in May 2026?
31 shares @ 9.8¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$2.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by 3.9% in April?
48 shares @ 6.2¢·now 6.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$2.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will Trump say "Daddy" this week?
10 shares @ 27.5¢·now 25.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$2.50
$-0.25
- YES
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?
3 shares @ 71.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.18
$0.18
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$5.186m ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$10.367m ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$29.6810m ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$15.5416m ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$2.8826m ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$2.1028m ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$35.4829m ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$20.6336m ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$10.3442m ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$1.0449m ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$1.0651m ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$5.1751m ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$9.8054m ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$5.181h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$1.041h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$22.731h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$10.401h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$2.131h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$2.091h ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$2.051h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $4.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 18h ago
- Last active
- 6m ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".