Staid-Legend
0x108fc2deecbe9c551a8d95e622af4cf405ef7937
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
54
Open notional
$178.86
Total PnL
$-2.8K
Realised
$110.12
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
3553 shares @ 3.2¢·now 3.1¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$110.14
$-2.34
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
597 shares @ 6.6¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$37.33
$-2.09
- YES
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
1694 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.79
$-6.91
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
1285 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.21
$-5.78
- YES
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.40
$0.40
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
107944 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-190.20
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
21913 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-559.89
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
19761 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-100.78
- YES
Will Xi Jinping be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
19499 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-19.50
- YES
Will the US strike Nigeria next?
8000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$2.48May 28, 03:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$17.99May 27, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?$29.94May 27, 02:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$7.13May 25, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$2.50May 25, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?$27.43May 25, 16:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$10.20May 23, 11:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $11.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 11, 22:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".