Jaded-Juice
0x109e74e68beb0519e9a7515f50b7de2d87ca73f0
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$51.99
Total PnL
$-71.42
Realised
$-0.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
19 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$18.38
$0.05
- NO
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?
13 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$13.24
$0.24
- NO
Forsen to get signed by an LCK prog org by Jun 30?
10 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.09
$0.09
- NO
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
8 shares @ 97.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.24
$0.24
- NO
Will OpenAI have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
2 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.04
$0.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 12?
11000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?
54 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-51.00
- NO
Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by January 31?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 18?
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
1 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $8.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.