0x10afcc590506a3f1c71a31f384a104ac423b94cc
0x10afcc590506a3f1c71a31f384a104ac423b94cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-372.29
Realised
$166.75
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
20000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in March?
11016 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-118.99
- YES
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
3258 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.99
- NO
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?
2500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 1?
1400 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on March 2?
1300 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?
1099 shares @ 18.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 1?
928 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 2?
928 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 15?
928 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?$3.80Apr 14, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 15?$1.00Apr 14, 22:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?$5.00Apr 14, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?$2.30Apr 14, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?$2.50Apr 14, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?$5.22Apr 14, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?$20.50Apr 2, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$19.63Apr 2, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$18.00Apr 1, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 2?$1.00Apr 1, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4AM ET$1.00Apr 1, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 1?$2.00Apr 1, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?$5.00Apr 1, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$48.89Mar 29, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$46.00Mar 5, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 5?$1.00Mar 5, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$47.00Mar 5, 04:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$9.41Mar 3, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on March 2?$1.30Mar 2, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$10.00Mar 1, 21:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $61.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 00:42 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 14, 22:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.