Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Probability
0¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.5pp
24h Vol
$483.9K
Liquidity
$74.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
-0.7pp 7dWhy did it move?
Without an Anthropic API key we show a heuristic summary derived from the market metrics.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 4541.9h
- 18:07SignalHIGH
Signal · Clustered NO flow
25 trades ($5,882) aligned on NO across 22 wallets in the last 30 min.
- 18:07SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 4542h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 18:07TradeMEDIUM
Motionless-Artifact · SELL YES $5.3K
@ 88¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
25- SELLUP9s ago
- BUYNATUS VINCERE9s ago
- BUYDOWN9s ago
- BUYDOWN9s ago
- BUYDOWN9s ago
- SELLYES9s ago
- BUYYES9s ago
- BUYDOWN9s ago
- BUYDOWN9s ago
- BUYDOWN9s ago
- BUYNATUS VINCERE9s ago
- BUYYES9s ago
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Oct 31, 2026
- Resolution source
- UMA status
- n/a
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- No primary resolution source listed — read the market rules.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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