Imperfect-Beetle
0x10b30364936b03d26b3fd01a63d1f991454b40d4
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$15.0K
Total PnL
$-5.4K
Realised
$5.8K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
14000 shares @ 59.9¢·now 56.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$7.9K
$-470.98
- NO
Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2027?
4715 shares @ 96.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.6K
$67.06
- YES
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
3000 shares @ 61.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$795.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
10000 shares @ 35.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$550.00
$-3.0K
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
2000 shares @ 66.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$500.00
$-820.00
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
2000 shares @ 59.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$410.00
$-770.00
- YES
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
10000 shares @ 6.5¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$214.00
$-436.00
- YES
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027?
1192 shares @ 8.0¢·now 4.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$57.23
$-38.16
- FRANCE
France vs. England: Team to Win
10000 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will France vs. England end in a draw?
10000 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.8K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.70Jul 30, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.70Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.70Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.70Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.70Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.70Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.70Jul 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.70Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.70Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.70Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$1.04Jul 20, 00:13 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$17.70Jul 19, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$1.06Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$38.94Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: England (-3.5)$20.0KJul 18, 23:14 UTC
- TRADESELLFrance vs. England: Team to Win$3.4KJul 18, 22:30 UTC
- TRADESELLFrance vs. England: Team to Win$25.00Jul 18, 22:30 UTC
- TRADESELLFrance vs. England: Team to Win$175.60Jul 18, 22:30 UTC
- TRADESELLFrance vs. England: Team to Win$1.10Jul 18, 22:30 UTC
- TRADESELLFrance vs. England: Team to Win$57.62Jul 18, 22:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$26.6K
Trades
1
Buy share
60%
Window
Jun 2, 14:50 UTC → Jul 10, 23:39 UTC
- BUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.6K@16¢Jun 2, 14:46 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
60%
Sample
limited
3 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
$17.1K · 64% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $2.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 00:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.