Reckless-Oak
0x10d95cc43ff20f1890a2a7856dc4ea883c175d17
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$13.01
Total PnL
$-59.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
8 shares @ 61.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.09
$2.09
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$4.17
$3.17
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
2 shares @ 89.5¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.75
$0.08
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Ethereum all time high in 2024?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Doodles token announcement in 2024?
113 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Linea airdrop in 2024?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$1.67Mar 16, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.00Mar 16, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 16, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$5.00Mar 16, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$1.00Mar 16, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 16, 15:17 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?$10.25Mar 16, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$1.00Dec 20, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum all time high in 2024?$9.83Dec 20, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be a US Government shutdown? $11.50Dec 20, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a US Government shutdown? $10.00Dec 20, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?$10.00Dec 20, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYDoodles token announcement in 2024?$50.00Dec 20, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYLinea airdrop in 2024?$1.00Dec 20, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum all time high in 2024?$10.00Dec 20, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum all time high in 2024?$10.00Dec 20, 09:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $8.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 20, 09:06 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 15:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".