Misguided-Whole
0x10eb4a79e52638b5e19984bf22728459c8f9848b
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
94
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-17.7K
Realised
$23.20
Win rate
53%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 94- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?
30310 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-96.45
- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
27416 shares @ 41.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-11.3K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on January 21?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
13790 shares @ 31.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.4K
- NO
Will Trump say "Nuclear" or "Iran" 4+ times during WEF Address on January 21?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?
4514 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-310.00
- YES
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?
2336 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-192.71
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
2254 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-145.82
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
1530 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-15.30
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
1387 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-88.91
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$172.42Apr 12, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$976.22Apr 12, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tisza win at least 90 seats?$35.10Apr 11, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?$5.00Apr 11, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?$5.00Apr 11, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?$9.00Apr 11, 09:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$54.10Apr 11, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tisza win at least 90 seats?$55.35Apr 10, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$5.00Apr 10, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?$10.00Apr 10, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?$10.00Apr 10, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1.2KApr 10, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?$30.00Apr 10, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?$10.00Apr 10, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$3.54Apr 8, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$480.00Apr 8, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?$10.00Apr 8, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?$10.00Apr 8, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$43.95Apr 5, 19:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$0.03Apr 5, 19:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $94.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 16:51 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 18:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".