Trusty-Pudding
0x10f46954c11f9b6b40cb0a390efab28032d27728
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$2.7K
Total PnL
$-25.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
2800 shares @ 54.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.6K
$42.00
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
1000 shares @ 56.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$544.99
$-15.00
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
1157 shares @ 38.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$387.70
$-52.08
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
512 shares @ 35.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$171.54
$-7.68
- YES
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?
1331 shares @ 28.1¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$73.18
$-300.46
- YES
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
48749 shares @ 23.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.3K
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
37543 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.3K
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
19595 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
18200 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.2K
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
9182 shares @ 16.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.14Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.