Thorny-Boost
0x110360341e4c6f249b00f838a42ed4804495b468
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
122
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-193.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 122- YES
Will Jurassic World Rebirth win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?
819 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will "F1" win Best Cinematography at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
555 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will "Jurassic World Rebirth" win Best Special Visual Effects at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
354 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will "Wicked: For Good" win Best Special Visual Effects at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
255 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Frankenstein win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Marty Supreme win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will "The Lost Bus" win Best Special Visual Effects at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
204 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will The Lost Bus win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?
186 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the US strike Cuba next?
152 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "One Battle After Another" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?
46 shares @ 21.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$18.13May 22, 19:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Regulation" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?$1.72Apr 17, 10:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "DoorDash" or "McDonald's" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?$2.38Apr 17, 10:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Great Big Beautiful Bill" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?$2.39Apr 17, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Great Big Beautiful Bill" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?$2.00Apr 16, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Regulation" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?$1.00Apr 16, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?$1.00Apr 16, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Pope" during TPUSA events on April 17?$1.00Apr 16, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "DoorDash" or "McDonald's" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?$1.00Apr 16, 17:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Starmer say "National Security" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$2.44Apr 16, 17:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Starmer say "NHS" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$3.03Apr 16, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Blockade" during Fox interview on Wednesday?$1.00Apr 15, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie or Mamdani say "Billionaire" 5+ times during NYC rally?$4.37Apr 15, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$18.00Apr 12, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie or Mamdani say "Billionaire" 5+ times during NYC rally?$2.00Apr 12, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Trump" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$2.14Apr 12, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Anthropic" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$2.22Apr 12, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie or Mamdani say "Billionaire" 5+ times during NYC rally?$2.00Apr 10, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mark Rutte say "Trump" 2+ times during his speech on April 9?$1.15Apr 10, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mark Rutte say "The President" during his speech on April 9?$1.15Apr 10, 08:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $1.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 28, 11:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 19:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.