Ancient-Cinder
0x1113df36de3b68c21ea58f1a495b38c2d3c394df
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-601.34
Realised
$6.55
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
1282 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
619 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- TIMBERWOLVES
Spurs vs. Timberwolves
480 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-19.20
- SPURS
Spurs vs. Thunder
373 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-149.33
- THUNDER
Thunder vs. Spurs
354 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-85.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
350 shares @ 28.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-98.87
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
204 shares @ 24.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
181 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-20.12
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$100.41Jun 1, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Spurs$86.94May 29, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$83.49May 28, 15:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.00May 28, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$152.02May 26, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$5.27May 17, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$26.31May 17, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$26.33May 17, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$26.36May 17, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$0.26May 17, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$105.02May 17, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$26.43May 17, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$211.21May 17, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$26.40May 17, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$26.24May 17, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET$56.82May 17, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$5.34May 17, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET$25.98May 17, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-05-17?$20.50May 17, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$2.06May 17, 01:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $23.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 14:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 22:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".