That-Quote
0x114a7e8070027f4f4c179f7216e400c5a83169be
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$10.73
Total PnL
$-132.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
34 shares @ 29.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.86
$-4.14
- YES
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
33 shares @ 15.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.67
$-2.33
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
18 shares @ 5.5¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.64
$-0.36
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.59
$-0.41
- YES
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview?
3000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" or "Gaza" 7+ times during the Board of Peace Charter Announcement?
2905 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- NO
Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?
1560 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.56
- NO
Will Trump say "Killing" or "Execution" during the Board of Peace Charter Announcement?
1427 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" during the Board of Peace Charter Announcement?
1003 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEbola case in the US by June 30?$10.35May 31, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?$1.04May 31, 08:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$52.24May 31, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Mar 15, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.00Mar 15, 08:46 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Mexico by March 31?$3.14Mar 15, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by March 31?$3.66Mar 9, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by March 31?$1.00Mar 9, 02:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Transgender" this week? (March 8)$0.03Mar 9, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" this week? (March 8)$0.87Mar 9, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be impeached by end of 2026?$1.00Mar 6, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 6?$1.00Mar 6, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-03-06?$1.00Mar 6, 12:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$8.09Mar 6, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$6.00Mar 2, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.00Mar 1, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.00Mar 1, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.00Mar 1, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$10.00Mar 1, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-01?$5.00Mar 1, 04:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $6.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 12:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 08:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".