Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Probability
13¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.5pp
24h Vol
$1.0K
Liquidity
$59.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dTimeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5977.5h
Price movement
-2.0pp over the last 24h, now 11¢.
Biggest hourly move: -3.5pp at 20:00 (to 11¢).
Show 4 hourly moves
- 22:00 · -3.0pp → 11¢
- 21:00 · -3.5pp → 11¢
- 20:00 · -3.5pp → 11¢
- 11:00 · -3.0pp → 11¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryconsensus of credible reportingTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
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