Unusual-Composition
0x114f111a3b37719b241284206a0f26ee1c55031c
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$23.55
Total PnL
$-165.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
115 shares @ 34.8¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.55
$-16.45
- NO
Will Israel strike Syria by September 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
208 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Maduro out in 2025?
141 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-32.42
- YES
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?
132 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating be <43.5% on September 12?
121 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
98 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Another Russian incursion in Polish airspace by September 30?
65 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?
59 shares @ 50.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-01?$5.00Mar 1, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?$40.00Mar 1, 13:21 UTC
- REDEEMElon no longer world's richest before 2026?$77.62Jan 11, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out in 2025?$32.42Oct 28, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$5.00Oct 27, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces in Venezuela by December 31?$25.00Oct 27, 11:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?$51.72Oct 2, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown by October 1?$10.00Sep 29, 08:31 UTC
- TRADESELLCDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?$19.75Sep 20, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?$15.00Sep 15, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYFact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?$2.00Sep 14, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother Russian incursion in Polish airspace by September 30?$15.00Sep 14, 17:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-09-12?$32.61Sep 13, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-09-12?$2.00Sep 12, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-09-12?$15.00Sep 12, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYCDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?$20.00Sep 12, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?$30.00Sep 12, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more? $2.00Sep 12, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?$5.00Sep 12, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be 43.5–43.9% on September 12?$3.00Sep 12, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
22 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $12.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 11, 12:48 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 13:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.