Acclaimed-Firm
0x1156491e8f97d7dc0e22db232cbf625d02cc5eb4
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$2.5K
Total PnL
$1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
2134 shares @ 27.8¢·now 81.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.7K
$1.1K
- NO
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?
587 shares @ 85.2¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$524.83
$24.83
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
298 shares @ 88.4¢·now 88.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$264.14
$0.14
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
97 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-71.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?$264.00Jun 18, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?$500.00Jun 18, 18:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?$587.48Jun 18, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$176.96Jun 18, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$71.00Jun 3, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?$70.11Jun 3, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?$61.00May 1, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?$61.89May 1, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$584.20Apr 18, 18:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?$584.20Apr 18, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?$314.42Mar 24, 23:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?$314.43Mar 24, 16:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?$0.00Mar 18, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$376.14Mar 9, 00:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?$376.13Mar 9, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?$35.28Mar 4, 09:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?$2.08Mar 3, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?$33.20Mar 3, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$216.28Mar 3, 15:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Borova by March 31?$215.99Mar 3, 15:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $231.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 8, 18:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 18:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.