Guilty-Gearshift
0x116536a0861919d9eb676e060becb138699b9c3a
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$8.28
Total PnL
$-40.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
33 shares @ 21.5¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.72
$-2.28
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.52
$0.52
- YES
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.64
$-0.36
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?
11 shares @ 9.1¢·now 5.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.54
$-0.46
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.36
$-0.64
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.35
$-0.65
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.07
$-0.93
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.06
$-0.94
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 7PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on March 2?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1.41Jun 2, 01:01 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$1.54Apr 28, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$6.00Apr 20, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?$1.00Apr 11, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?$1.00Apr 11, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$1.00Apr 11, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$1.00Apr 11, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Epstein Data Set 13 be released by April 30?$2.00Apr 11, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$2.00Apr 11, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.00Apr 11, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1.00Apr 11, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.00Apr 11, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$1.47Apr 11, 01:09 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$1.56Apr 11, 01:09 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$4.10Apr 11, 01:09 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$10.17Apr 11, 01:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on April 1?$1.28Apr 7, 01:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 1?$2.13Apr 7, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$6.00Apr 2, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?$1.00Apr 1, 03:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 08:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 01:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".