Exalted-Ham
0x11799f360083cda046e7cd998ce556664703710b
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
57
Open notional
$5.04
Total PnL
$-133.54
Realised
$-5.86
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?
3 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.17
$1.17
- NO
Ukraine strike in Russia on 24 November 2025?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.20
$0.20
- YES
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
8 shares @ 12.2¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.57
$-0.43
- YES
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.05
$-0.95
- YES
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.04
$-0.96
- YES
Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
2278 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$0.00
$-37.60
- YES
Will George Simion win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
367 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
96 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on December 5?
56 shares @ 35.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Russia rejoin the G7 in 2025?
49 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUkraine election called by March 31, 2026?$1.00Dec 15, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?$1.00Dec 15, 17:18 UTC
- REDEEMRussia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 5?$1.15Dec 15, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia strike on Kyiv municipality on December 6?$7.20Dec 5, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia strike on Kyiv municipality on December 6?$1.00Dec 4, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine strike on Moscow municipality by December 31?$1.00Dec 4, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 5?$1.00Dec 4, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia strike on Kyiv municipality on December 5?$20.00Dec 4, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia strike on Kyiv municipality on December 4?$1.00Dec 4, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.00Nov 30, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a cut to U.S. military or intelligence aid to Ukraine by December 31?$1.00Nov 30, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? $1.00Nov 30, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?$1.00Nov 30, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYNord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?$1.00Nov 30, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election called by June 30, 2026?$1.00Nov 30, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYVolodymyr Zelenskyy arrested by December 31?$1.00Nov 30, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine strike in Russia on 27 November 2025?$1.72Nov 30, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine strike in Russia on 30 November 2025?$4.47Nov 30, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia rejoin the G7 in 2025?$1.00Nov 28, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine hits Moscow by December 31?$1.00Nov 28, 17:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $2.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 27, 09:52 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 15, 17:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.