Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?

1. 1

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

2. 2

   Thin liquidity

   Only $21.6k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

3. 3

   Past expiry — awaiting resolution

   Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

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Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between February 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.