Courageous-Poll
0x117a38bd2b8b16f19fda6282e071c7d5da0701ba
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
5
Open notional
$341.44
Total PnL
$58.90
Realised
$221.35
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?
1829 shares @ 12.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$320.00
$100.57
- YES
Will Chennai Super Kings win the 2026 Indian Premier League?
292 shares @ 3.9¢·now 7.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$21.44
$9.93
- ROYAL CHALLENGERS BANGALORE
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore
545 shares @ 30.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-168.02
- YES
Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
283 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-34.82
- MUMBAI INDIANS
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad
200 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-70.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?$4.085h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?$21.9610h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?$12.8520h ago
- MAKER_REBATE$1.331d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?$177.361d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?$1.201d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?$1.571d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?$0.271d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?$0.141d ago
- TRADESELLIndian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore$98.001d ago
- TRADESELLIndian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore$86.001d ago
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore$102.341d ago
- TRADESELLIndian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore - Completed match?$106.571d ago
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore$42.181d ago
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore$50.911d ago
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore - Completed match?$59.921d ago
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore - Completed match?$13.081d ago
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore$101.771d ago
- TRADESELLIndian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore$121.401d ago
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore$25.301d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $38.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 5d ago
- Last active
- 5h ago
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
