0x118852126aa33e29b161a449338c2306e6f21d1f
0x118852126aa33e29b161a449338c2306e6f21d1f
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$5.40
Total PnL
$-7.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
3600 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.40
$-294.53
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
10818 shares @ 42.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-4.6K
- YES
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?
2571 shares @ 40.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2024 meeting?
1132 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?
844 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- DEMOCRATIC
Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?
769 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2024$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election?
667 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?
627 shares @ 31.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
488 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-200.00
- NO
Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?
476 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$2.05Apr 29, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.64Apr 29, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.64Apr 29, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.55Apr 29, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$2.32Apr 29, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$2.55Apr 29, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.15Apr 29, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$2.39Apr 29, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.15Apr 29, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.32Apr 29, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.68Apr 29, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.74Apr 29, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.68Apr 29, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.20Apr 29, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.68Apr 29, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$4.00Apr 29, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$2.40Apr 29, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.09Apr 29, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$6.91Apr 29, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$3.32Apr 29, 07:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $24.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 22:09 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 08:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".