PoliticsMulti-outcomeExpires Nov 3, 2026

Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Probability

9¢

1h

-1.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$1.8K

Liquidity

$90.6K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 01:00Apr 25, 2026, 21:31
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 4586.5h

    LOW

Price movement

+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 9¢.

Biggest hourly move: +4.0pp at 2d ago (to 10¢).

Show 8 hourly moves
  • 12:00 · +3.0pp → 10¢
  • 11:00 · +3.0pp → 10¢
  • 2d ago · +3.5pp → 10¢
  • 2d ago · +4.0pp → 10¢
  • 2d ago · +4.0pp → 10¢
  • 2d ago · +4.0pp → 10¢
  • 2d ago · +3.0pp → 11¢
  • 2d ago · +3.0pp → 11¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventCalifornia Governor Election Winner
Category · Politics

Market Description

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Nov 3, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
nato
Type
Official government source
Confidence
extracted · high
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

20 wallets
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