Nutty-Celeriac
0x11a1e9de18c36eb0991c9c3797aaaefc7ebe7afe
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
151
Open notional
$659.20
Total PnL
$-14.0K
Realised
$335.24
Win rate
62%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 151- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?
365 shares @ 56.9¢·now 69.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$251.87
$44.03
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
750 shares @ 22.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$127.50
$-37.50
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?
250 shares @ 52.9¢·now 48.3¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$120.79
$-11.53
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
566 shares @ 31.1¢·now 10.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$59.48
$-116.53
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
1500 shares @ 5.7¢·now 3.4¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$50.25
$-34.75
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
1412 shares @ 32.8¢·now 2.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$28.25
$-435.72
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?
500 shares @ 17.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$14.75
$-70.25
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
8 shares @ 79.4¢·now 76.6¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$6.30
$-0.23
- YES
No Data Reported in 2025?
150000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Gold missing from Fort Knox?
30822 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-585.42
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$6.60Jul 28, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$6.86Jul 28, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$21.09Jul 28, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$3.25Jul 28, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$3.25Jul 28, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$32.00Jul 28, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$2.54Jul 28, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$30.00Jul 28, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$27.34Jul 28, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$2.06Jul 28, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$86.42Jul 28, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$87.58Jul 28, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$32.04Jul 28, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$39.96Jul 28, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$63.00Jul 28, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$9.46Jul 28, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$22.77Jul 28, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$22.77Jul 28, 12:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$120.18Jul 28, 12:34 UTC
- REWARD$0.31Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
43/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
62% win rate over 21 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
21 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $27.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 23:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 18:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.