Fearless-Productivity
0x11a67addb17113a08e1c8a3b0e6a7020f1064421
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-104.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Nashville Predators win the 2025 President’s Trophy?
1200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Teodor Nițulescu win the Romanian presidential election?
1040 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.04
- YES
Will Victoria Livschitz win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- FALCONS
Falcons vs. Cowboys
73 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 29, 2025$0.00
$-32.90
- UCF
Houston vs. UCF
63 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- ORIOLES
Red Sox vs. Orioles
34 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 2, 2025$0.00
$-16.70
- LIONS
Lions vs. Chiefs
17 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-7.10
- BREWERS
Brewers vs. Padres
14 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-6.75
- MARINERS
Blue Jays vs. Mariners
10 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-5.50
- NATIONALS
Nationals vs. Marlins
4 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.04
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?$239.68Jun 15, 13:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?$299.61Jun 15, 13:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?$309.60Jun 15, 13:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?$310.07Jun 12, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?$240.06Jun 12, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?$300.07Jun 12, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$219.71Jun 12, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$219.71Jun 12, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$409.47Jun 12, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$410.10Jun 12, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$220.05Jun 12, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$220.05Jun 12, 10:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$249.73Jun 12, 10:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$299.67Jun 12, 10:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$299.67Jun 12, 10:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$250.01Jun 11, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$300.02Jun 11, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$300.02Jun 11, 15:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $272.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 7, 11:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 13:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.