Hot-Rage
0x11efcf1461064b4a9dd8161a13d886d43763c850
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$5.51
Total PnL
$-171.04
Realised
$2.23
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix Sprint?
6 shares @ 90.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 4, 2025$5.51
$0.51
- YES
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
256 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
161 shares @ 61.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-98.59
- YES
Astronomer Divorce Parlay
56 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.65
- YES
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
53 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?
41 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
22 shares @ 45.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-9.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$100.00Mar 21, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$10.00Mar 21, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$10.00Mar 21, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$40.09Mar 21, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$30.00Mar 21, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$10.00Mar 21, 14:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$15.24Mar 21, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$10.00Mar 21, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$8.50Mar 21, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$5.60Mar 21, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$309.94Feb 16, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$2.00Feb 8, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$1.00Feb 8, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$1.00Feb 8, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$1.00Feb 8, 13:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$31.71Feb 8, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$323.50Jan 18, 19:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?$0.00Jan 4, 20:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?$161.29Jan 4, 20:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?$32.63Dec 17, 11:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $46.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 17:48 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 21, 15:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".