Round-Resolution
0x11fcbba836d927c5fe6e6a6a64c9c0461e33dc48
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$355.2K
Total PnL
$13.6K
Realised
$9.3K
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
71005 shares @ 88.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$64.3K
$1.8K
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
58984 shares @ 90.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$54.0K
$884.76
- NO
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
56494 shares @ 80.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.5K
$2.3K
- NO
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
47770 shares @ 87.2¢·now 89.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.5K
$838.12
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
40079 shares @ 93.7¢·now 93.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$37.5K
$-40.04
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
46161 shares @ 68.3¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.9K
$2.4K
- NO
NATO article 5 before 2027?
22316 shares @ 85.7¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.4K
$1.3K
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
10000 shares @ 85.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.8K
$250.00
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
103571 shares @ 8.4¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.6K
$-51.68
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
9396 shares @ 88.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.5K
$234.90
Recent activity
- YIELD$10.59Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$6.6KJun 12, 19:09 UTC
- YIELD$10.58Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$1.4KJun 11, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win on 2026-06-11?$1.0KJun 11, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$1.0KJun 11, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$505.56Jun 11, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$90.09Jun 11, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$26.19Jun 11, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$101.11Jun 11, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$45.50Jun 11, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$1.0KJun 11, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$101.11Jun 11, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$564.95Jun 11, 12:54 UTC
- YIELD$10.53Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$10.42Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$9.7KJun 9, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.8KJun 9, 09:07 UTC
- YIELD$10.21Jun 9, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$10.2KJun 8, 17:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $2.4K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 12:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.