Admirable-Samurai
0x1229233bad2fd7462955c6383448904b5432df38
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
72
Open notional
$50.6K
Total PnL
$2.9K
Realised
$5.5K
Win rate
84%
50 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 72- NO
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
36388 shares @ 50.7¢·now 40.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.7K
$-3.7K
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
6434 shares @ 77.5¢·now 84.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$5.4K
$417.94
- NO
Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?
3761 shares @ 97.8¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.7K
$52.06
- NO
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?
3039 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.0K
$72.35
- NO
Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?
1903 shares @ 96.2¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.9K
$56.03
- NO
Will Scotiabank fail by June 30, 2026?
1798 shares @ 97.4¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.8K
$28.23
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?
1738 shares @ 88.1¢·now 97.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.7K
$165.41
- NO
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?
1541 shares @ 86.3¢·now 90.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.4K
$63.94
- NO
Will Rodrigo Pacheco win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
1493 shares @ 89.1¢·now 91.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.4K
$28.01
- YES
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
1427 shares @ 80.4¢·now 88.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$1.3K
$115.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?$4.79Jun 13, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?$0.67Jun 13, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?$0.67Jun 13, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?$61.09Jun 13, 17:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$0.34Jun 13, 15:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$0.51Jun 13, 15:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$2.90Jun 13, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$5.00Jun 13, 14:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$5.00Jun 13, 14:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$2.00Jun 13, 14:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$1.20Jun 13, 14:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tereza Cristina finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.86Jun 13, 14:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$5.00Jun 13, 14:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$0.39Jun 13, 13:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$15.00Jun 13, 13:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$7.60Jun 13, 13:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$14.00Jun 13, 13:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$59.44Jun 13, 12:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$72.67Jun 13, 04:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$45.45Jun 13, 04:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $47.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 10:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 18:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 50 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.