Instructive-Cereal
0x122f36b963ff13b0feeb968b3f7b212b9b529a1f
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$85.09
Total PnL
$-70.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of July 6 above $330?
72 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$72.07
$0.07
- NO
Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
13 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.02
$-0.08
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 12?
1160 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.32
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 12?
1100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 28?
900 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 12?
835 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.67
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 12?
750 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on February 24?
625 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 22?
550 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 12?
550 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of July 6 above $330?$72.00Jul 10, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$9.42Jul 10, 05:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.40 in June?$106.21Jul 10, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.40 in June?$106.01Jun 27, 11:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 22 above $240?$106.11Jun 27, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 22 above $240?$106.00Jun 26, 05:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C or higher on May 31?$12.42Jun 26, 05:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$14.23Jun 26, 05:17 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$79.24Jun 26, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$79.00May 31, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?$79.16May 31, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?$79.01May 30, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C or higher on May 31?$12.40May 30, 05:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?$92.09May 30, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?$92.01May 28, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$14.22May 28, 04:24 UTC
- REDEEMRoland Garros ATP: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tommy Paul$6.47May 28, 04:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$99.10May 28, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$99.00May 27, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$13.10May 27, 11:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $70.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 03:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 05:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.