Wealthy-Seabass
0x1235c8bf05d5fb581430d15d500384ec364ef877
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$1.20
Total PnL
$-108.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 3.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.20
$-3.80
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?
126 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?
109 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14?
69 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Base launch a token in 2025?
60 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
51 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump pardon Diddy by Friday?
38 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will West Ham win on 2025-10-20?
28 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?
26 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?$4.27Oct 28, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5.00Oct 28, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Diddy by Friday?$1.00Oct 21, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill West Ham win on 2025-10-20?$10.00Oct 20, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Gaza" or "Israel" during Australia PM events on October 20?$9.72Oct 20, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Australia" 8+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?$10.45Oct 20, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?$3.00Oct 19, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Australia" 8+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?$7.00Oct 19, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Aussie" during Australia PM events on October 20?$2.00Oct 19, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Trillion" or "Million" or "Billion" 10+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?$3.00Oct 19, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Australia PM events on October 20?$1.00Oct 19, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Gaza" or "Israel" during Australia PM events on October 20?$7.00Oct 19, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUK sanctions on Russia by October 31?$1.00Oct 19, 05:11 UTC
- REDEEMPalantir (PLTR) Up or Down on October 17?$11.11Oct 18, 04:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "NATO" 3+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?$12.99Oct 18, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Suit" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?$4.35Oct 17, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "NATO" 3+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?$10.00Oct 16, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 3 countries in October 2025?$1.00Oct 16, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?$1.00Oct 16, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Patriot" or "Tomahawk" 3+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?$2.00Oct 16, 19:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $4.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 15:09 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 28, 16:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.