Frail-Research
0x1235dfde3a3071cbae43f344085d07845ca809f8
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 9AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?
12 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will there be between 6 and 9 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 27?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 8AM ET
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?$1.26Mar 2, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?$1.00Jan 29, 09:26 UTC
- TRADESELLInternational T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 4)$1.25Jan 28, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 6 and 9 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?$1.00Jan 28, 12:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$0.92Jan 28, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIlhan Omar town hall attack staged?$1.00Jan 28, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 9AM ET$1.00Jan 27, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 8AM ET$1.00Jan 27, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$1.00Jan 27, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?$0.00Jan 27, 12:52 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?$0.00Jan 27, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.00Jan 27, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternational T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 4)$1.10Jan 26, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$1.00Jan 26, 10:15 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$2.00Jan 26, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 27?$1.00Jan 26, 08:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$4.87Jan 26, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$2.40Jan 26, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$1.00Jan 25, 05:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$1.76Jan 25, 04:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $1.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 24, 04:13 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 2, 05:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.