Infatuated-Noun
0x123890cc3dce3834b22a5ade4b9929569edde176
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$5.09
Total PnL
$-4.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?
2 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$2.40
$1.41
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$1.42
$0.42
- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$1.28
$0.28
- YES
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
18 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
3 shares @ 37.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.98
- NO
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?$1.48Apr 28, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?$1.52Apr 28, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?$1.90Apr 28, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?$0.00Apr 28, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?$1.00Apr 20, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?$1.00Apr 20, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?$1.00Apr 20, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?$1.00Apr 20, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?$1.00Apr 20, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?$1.00Apr 20, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?$1.00Apr 20, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?$1.00Apr 20, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?$0.00Apr 20, 07:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?$1.43Apr 20, 07:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?$0.00Apr 20, 07:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-14?$4.17Mar 15, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?$0.00Mar 15, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?$1.00Mar 14, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?$1.00Mar 14, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?$1.00Mar 14, 13:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 22, 03:30 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 04:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.