Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
Probability
63¢
1h
-0.1pp
24h
-0.9pp
24h Vol
$124.12
Liquidity
$9.7K
Probability (last 7 days)
-2.6pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 752h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $9.7k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 752.1h
- 15:53SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 752h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.1pp
to 42¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.0pp
to 42¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.2pp
to 53¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.9pp
to 58¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.1pp
to 61¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.1pp
to 61¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.2pp
to 59¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.1pp
to 61¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.4pp
to 62¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This is a polymarket to predict which clubs finish in the top 4 of the English Premier League standings for the 2025–26 season. If the listed club officially finishes in the top 4 of the English Premier League standings at the end of the season, the market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If two or more clubs are tied on points for a top 4 position, resolution will follow the official English Premier League tiebreaking procedures. If the 2025–26 English Premier League season is canceled or not completed before October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 27, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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