Defensive-Hierarchy
0x1244522bdf0b7fd0e4701a7fb926fd8a60a0a103
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$46.32
Total PnL
$-28.82
Realised
$0.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
42 shares @ 32.6¢·now 65.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.55
$13.73
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
19 shares @ 53.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.66
$0.66
- YES
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
102 shares @ 4.9¢·now 3.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.83
$-1.17
- YES
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 TOUR Championship?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$3.00
$1.00
- YES
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
26 shares @ 19.1¢·now 4.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.28
$-3.72
- YES
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-04-19?
47 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-19.65
- YES
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
30 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- ARSENAL FC
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
17 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Cadillac Championship?
12 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.004h ago
- YIELD$0.001d ago
- TRADESELLNew pandemic in 2026?$22.002d ago
- YIELD$0.002d ago
- YIELD$0.003d ago
- YIELD$0.004d ago
- YIELD$0.005d ago
- TRADEBUYNew pandemic in 2026?$16.005d ago
- TRADEBUYNew pandemic in 2026?$10.005d ago
- YIELD$0.006d ago
- YIELD$0.007d ago
- TRADEBUYSpread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)$6.127d ago
- YIELD$0.008d ago
- REDEEMWill Cameron Young win the 2026 Cadillac Championship?$47.769d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Cameron Young win the 2026 TOUR Championship?$2.059d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Cadillac Championship?$3.079d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Cameron Young win the 2026 Cadillac Championship?$32.3210d ago
- TRADESELLFenerbahce vs. Zalgiris Kaunas$16.7314d ago
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$22.5614d ago
- TRADEBUYValencia vs. Panathinaikos$2.7414d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $12.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 47d ago
- Last active
- 4h ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
