Ragged-Center
0x12635f66b463a2f9d63d7c2a17015acc27f9d7cf
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-414.34
Realised
$-109.19
Win rate
0%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 31?
220 shares @ 26.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-58.70
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 10?
187 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.52
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on August 8?
174 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.22
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 10?
171 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.37
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on July 1?
89 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.68
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on March 30?
83 shares @ 27.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-22.85
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 31?
79 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.45
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 8?
78 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 9, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
66 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.70
- WINNERS
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs WINNERS (BO3)
64 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on August 8?$1.30Aug 7, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 10?$1.63Jul 9, 19:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 8?$35.80Jul 8, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 8?$1.91Jul 7, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on July 1?$2.86Jun 30, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 3?$2.55Jun 2, 17:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 31?$121.40Jun 1, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 31?$0.06May 30, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 31?$0.09May 30, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 31?$0.07May 30, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 31?$119.12May 30, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 23?$111.11May 23, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 23?$108.11May 22, 18:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 15?$124.41May 15, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 15?$121.42May 14, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 10?$1.47May 9, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 8?$2.67May 8, 03:26 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - March 28, 7AM ET$31.60May 7, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 20?$99.71Apr 30, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 20?$96.32Apr 20, 06:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $25.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 15:22 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 7, 22:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.