Ornery-Fail
0x128b01c68900a23798d151b7f56942d9f6fb7c4f
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$9.6K
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$5.35
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?
5837 shares @ 24.7¢·now 35.2¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$2.1K
$612.07
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1926 shares @ 96.1¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.9K
$42.13
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
1710 shares @ 97.4¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.7K
$34.46
- YES
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
1059 shares @ 98.2¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$1.0K
$5.65
- NO
Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$992.00
$0.50
- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
910 shares @ 96.9¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$898.06
$16.07
- NO
Will Citigroup fail by June 30, 2026?
605 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$599.55
$-0.14
- YES
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?
447 shares @ 98.5¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$441.74
$1.56
- NO
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the April meeting?
2101 shares @ 97.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?
1034 shares @ 97.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$196.93Jun 13, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?$160.10Jun 13, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?$216.80Jun 12, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?$19.60Jun 12, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$482.21Jun 12, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?$44.02Jun 12, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$296.01Jun 12, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$147.72Jun 12, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$196.96Jun 12, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$96.06Jun 12, 01:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$1.9KJun 11, 14:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?$789.09Jun 11, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$400.44Jun 11, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$1.0KJun 11, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$100.21Jun 11, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$100.02Jun 11, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$300.06Jun 11, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$400.11Jun 10, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$45.11Jun 10, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$30.07Jun 10, 23:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $136.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 14:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 14:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.