Decent-Marmalade
0x129047223a4c5ff6dc113f59256a682eaa644d56
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$55.98
Total PnL
$-25.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
195 shares @ 5.1¢·now 4.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$8.00
$-2.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
24 shares @ 42.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.74
$-2.26
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
7 shares @ 90.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$6.60
$0.60
- YES
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
26 shares @ 19.2¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$4.29
$-0.71
- YES
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
34 shares @ 14.6¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.28
$-0.72
- YES
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
36 shares @ 14.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.11
$-0.89
- YES
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
11 shares @ 57.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.84
$-2.16
- NO
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by April 30?
4 shares @ 73.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$3.74
$0.74
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by April 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 97.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$3.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by April 30?
2 shares @ 86.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.06
$0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$6.003d ago
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?$1.003d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$1.003d ago
- TRADEBUYIran coup attempt by June 30?$5.003d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$1.003d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Pakistan recognize Israel by June 30?$1.003d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Cuba recognize Israel by June 30$1.003d ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?$10.003d ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Syria security agreement by June 30?$5.003d ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$5.003d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$10.003d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$6.0013d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$6.0013d ago
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$1.0017d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Democrat" during the Easter Lunch on Wednesday?$1.3717d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Iran" during the Easter Lunch on Wednesday?$1.6117d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Viroliubivka by April 30?$5.0025d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kindrativka by April 30?$2.0025d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Pokrovka by April 30?$3.0025d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Prymorske by April 30, 2026?$3.0025d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $3.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 26d ago
- Last active
- 3d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.