Decent-Marmalade
0x129047223a4c5ff6dc113f59256a682eaa644d56
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$16.31
Total PnL
$-61.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
195 shares @ 5.1¢·now 2.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.17
$-4.83
- YES
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
36 shares @ 14.0¢·now 11.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.07
$-0.93
- YES
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.09
$-1.91
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
34 shares @ 14.6¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.58
$-4.42
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 5.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.48
$-0.52
- YES
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
26 shares @ 19.2¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.44
$-4.56
- YES
Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
1 shares @ 66.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$0.43
$-0.55
- YES
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.43
$-0.57
- YES
Will Cuba recognize Israel by June 30
27 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.20
$-0.80
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Australia win on 2026-06-14?$5.56Jun 14, 08:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$3.70Jun 12, 23:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$8.57Jun 12, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-06-14?$1.02Jun 10, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$5.06Jun 10, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$11.06Jun 10, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$1.02Jun 10, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$1.02Jun 10, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$6.05Jun 10, 11:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?$0.00Jun 10, 11:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?$31.75Jun 10, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$1.00May 16, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$1.00May 16, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$5.10May 16, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?$1.04May 16, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?$15.00May 16, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?$16.00May 16, 14:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?$1.33May 16, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$1.69May 16, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kindrativka by April 30?$2.33May 16, 14:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $4.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 20:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 08:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.