Responsible-Responsibility
0x1292f44ea1237a2d75a61190366d020bcfcfe678
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$366.60
Total PnL
$-189.10
Realised
$-2.86
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
415 shares @ 79.5¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$325.77
$-4.07
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
233 shares @ 25.3¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$40.83
$-18.17
- UNDER
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5
500 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- UNDER
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5
300 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- YES
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?
80 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UNDER
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5
71 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- FRANCE
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
51 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$40.00Jul 23, 15:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$99.90Jul 19, 22:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$138.53Jul 19, 22:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$49.95Jul 19, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$45.61Jul 19, 21:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$19.00Jul 15, 14:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$30.61Jul 14, 13:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMArgentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$0.00Jul 12, 04:05 UTC
- REDEEMArgentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$26.85Jul 12, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$84.55Jul 12, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$20.25Jul 12, 03:02 UTC
- TRADESELLArgentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5$56.52Jul 12, 03:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $47.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 02:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 15:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.