Limping-Witness
0x1295986496a4ea52fb285e0661074afed4731a3c
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-124.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?$253.26Jun 17, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?$254.38Jun 17, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Mantova 1911 (-1.5)$26.00May 1, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Mantova 1911 (-1.5)$23.50May 1, 06:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?$45.79May 1, 06:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?$41.55May 1, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?$47.52May 1, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?$43.12May 1, 02:42 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Olympic Dcheira (-1.5)$480.00May 1, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Olympic Dcheira (-1.5)$447.34Apr 30, 05:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?$446.81Apr 30, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?$447.26Apr 30, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Ismaily SC (-1.5)$444.47Apr 30, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Ismaily SC (-1.5)$427.20Apr 28, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?$429.88Apr 28, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?$429.88Apr 28, 07:48 UTC
- REWARD$1.33Apr 26, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?$34.80Mar 27, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSlovakia vs. Kosovo: O/U 4.5$75.33Mar 26, 09:05 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?$39.90Mar 26, 08:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $199.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 26, 07:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 08:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.