Bubbly-Cheddar
0x12962da3d9f7fdec4737935c271cac423b1c67bf
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$19.06
Total PnL
$-107.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
19 shares @ 96.4¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.06
$0.60
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 16?
360 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-6.66
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 17?
276 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-7.81
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 11?
273 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.37
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 6?
250 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-8.75
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 9?
210 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.88
- YES
Will Carlos Eduardo Palenque win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?
188 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.31
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 5?
187 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.37
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 2?
184 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.55
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
179 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.56
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$18.46Mar 25, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?$18.44Mar 25, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?$18.07Mar 23, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Eduardo Palenque win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?$4.31Mar 21, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$0.64Mar 20, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$4.96Mar 20, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$4.96Mar 20, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 19?$2.08Mar 19, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 18?$145.00Mar 19, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 66-67°F on March 18?$5.17Mar 18, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 18?$4.38Mar 18, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 18?$0.55Mar 18, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 17?$0.16Mar 17, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 17?$4.68Mar 17, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 17?$2.97Mar 17, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5)$0.10Mar 17, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5)$0.10Mar 17, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 16?$3.60Mar 16, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 16?$1.04Mar 16, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 16?$3.06Mar 16, 05:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $4.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 09:41 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 25, 07:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.