Arctic-Dude
0x12ae75c254cedd21074dc06036be2a87b62af0c1
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-794.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1201 shares @ 88.2¢·now 62.9¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$755.73
$-304.26
- YES
Will Zoë Garbett win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election?
455 shares @ 86.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$455.14
$62.14
- YES
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?
957 shares @ 75.2¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$167.45
$-552.55
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?$727.136d ago
- TRADESELLWill Peter Taylor win the 2026 Watford mayoral election?$726.886d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Zoë Garbett win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election?$395.158d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Peter Taylor win the 2026 Watford mayoral election?$701.408d ago
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.1K8d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$970.8515d ago
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$970.8518d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.3K19d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$61.0028d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$302.0028d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$697.0033d ago
- TRADESELLCredit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Yulia Starodubtseva$697.0433d ago
- TRADEBUYCredit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Yulia Starodubtseva$541.0033d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $674.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 33d ago
- Last active
- 6d ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
