0x12b72512a099405e130d670efc363a60591b9f3a
0x12b72512a099405e130d670efc363a60591b9f3a
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
61
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-118.51
Realised
$-4.09
Win rate
0%
61 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 61- YES
Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 1 France?
29 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 0 Senegal?
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18?
20 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
18 shares @ 30.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.62
- YES
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Morocco?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?
15 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 19, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
15 shares @ 19.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
13 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?
13 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Paraguay?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 22, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.56Jul 19, 10:31 UTC
- REDEEMHyperliquid Up or Down - July 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$0.00Jul 19, 10:29 UTC
- REDEEMHyperliquid Up or Down - July 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$1.35Jul 19, 10:29 UTC
- REDEEMHyperliquid Up or Down - July 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$0.00Jul 19, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - July 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$1.05Jul 19, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - July 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$1.06Jul 19, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - July 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$2.09Jul 19, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - July 19, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$1.07Jul 19, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - July 19, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$2.07Jul 19, 07:30 UTC
- TRADESELLHyperliquid Up or Down - July 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$1.08Jul 19, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - July 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$1.06Jul 19, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - July 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$1.03Jul 19, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - July 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$1.03Jul 19, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - July 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$2.09Jul 19, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLHyperliquid Up or Down - July 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$2.13Jul 19, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - July 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$1.05Jul 19, 07:10 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. England: Team to Win$3.03Jul 19, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$3.57Jul 19, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$0.01Jul 18, 21:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
63/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 61 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
61 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $1.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 03:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 09:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 61 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.