Fresh-Storage
0x12cdd5ed5e85d34259ebfca052d4fb98eaf2e03a
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$12.88
Total PnL
$-18.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
20 shares @ 24.4¢·now 19.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.05
$-0.95
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
29 shares @ 17.2¢·now 12.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.65
$-1.35
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
6 shares @ 35.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.49
$0.49
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
3 shares @ 70.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.44
$0.44
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.26
$-0.74
- YES
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?
12 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
9 shares @ 22.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?
9 shares @ 23.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.73Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.83Jul 17, 09:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
3 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $1.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.