Fatherly-Shortwave
0x12ea5d0d6a1c8360a29fedaf2d769f5ba9af6fe4
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$2.05
Total PnL
$-685.78
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- RAFA GARCIA
UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Prelims)
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$2.05
$1.07
- YES
Will Atlanta Hawks advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?
621 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-192.43
- NUGGETS
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
507 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-339.69
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?
188 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?
179 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
153 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-29.08
- HORNETS
Hornets vs. Magic
147 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.85
- NO
Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?
138 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?
31 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-9.67
- 76ERS
Celtics vs. 76ers
18 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-4.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCeltics vs. 76ers$4.22Apr 24, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Prelims)$1.00Apr 24, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Main Card)$1.00Apr 24, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)$1.00Apr 24, 23:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$46.27Apr 21, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Nuggets$343.09Apr 21, 03:46 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Knicks (-5.5)$343.10Apr 21, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Knicks (-5.5)$93.42Apr 20, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Knicks (-5.5)$80.92Apr 20, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLDesmond Bane: Points O/U 19.5$80.94Apr 20, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYDesmond Bane: Points O/U 19.5$47.95Apr 19, 19:04 UTC
- REDEEMKarl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 20.5$47.95Apr 19, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYKarl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 20.5$24.82Apr 18, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYHornets vs. Magic$5.00Apr 18, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?$40.00Apr 15, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?$10.00Apr 15, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?$50.00Apr 15, 23:13 UTC
- REDEEMHeat vs. Hornets$129.82Apr 15, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYHeat vs. Hornets$92.98Apr 14, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atlanta Hawks advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?$71.50Apr 14, 17:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $63.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 6, 13:02 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 23:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.