Baggy-Taxi
0x12ede1be8ce485a3d33ef26a61899d3bb8c254b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$162.69
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$-859.56
Win rate
0%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?
144 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$144.14
$0.14
- NO
Will Emil Boc be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
12 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.79
$-0.01
- CHRISTOPHER O'CONNELL
Cincinnati Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Kamil Majchrzak
7 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$6.76
$4.26
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
1527 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.58
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 1?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
1403 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.21
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 23?
784 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-199.94
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 25?
696 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-12.05
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 21?
682 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-173.92
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 21?
673 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-171.55
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?$144.01Aug 14, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Kamil Majchrzak$2.58Aug 14, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$10.00Aug 14, 11:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$136.14Aug 14, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$136.01Jul 18, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$6.12Jul 18, 05:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) finish week of June 1 above $330?$58.06Jul 18, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta (META) finish week of June 1 above $670?$84.84Jul 18, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) finish week of June 1 above $670?$84.76Jun 5, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) finish week of June 1 above $330?$58.00Jun 5, 12:56 UTC
- REDEEMBC Dubai vs. Buducnost$10.96Jun 5, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMValorant: Dynamo Esports vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage$15.88Jun 5, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$115.93Jun 5, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$115.81Jun 1, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 1?$3.21Jun 1, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1?$1.07Jun 1, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: Dynamo Esports vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage$8.22Jun 1, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C or below on May 30?$12.12Jun 1, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$13.43Jun 1, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$102.75Jun 1, 06:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $81.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 08:28 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 14, 11:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.