0x130843ebf665d4ea5fc0058089b3347977ef45c6
0x130843ebf665d4ea5fc0058089b3347977ef45c6
Quality score
92/100
Open positions
11
Open notional
$146.14
Total PnL
$-174.82
Realised
$34.80
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
51 shares @ 26.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$45.36
$32.11
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
93 shares @ 47.8¢·now 41.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$38.90
$-5.43
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
117 shares @ 49.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$36.85
$-20.48
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?
33 shares @ 56.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$12.78
$-5.57
- NO
Will Thom Tillis vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?
229 shares @ 20.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.91
$-37.95
- NO
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
4 shares @ 37.0¢·now 59.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.12
$0.79
- NO
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.78
$0.96
- YES
Will Iran strike Dimona by April 30?
18 shares @ 32.6¢·now 2.4¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.43
$-5.58
- NO
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?
511 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-102.27
- NO
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?
67 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-41.49
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?$3.572h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?$81.012h ago
- REWARD$0.2011h ago
- TRADESELLWill Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$68.2512h ago
- TRADESELLWill Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$36.4112h ago
- TRADESELLWill Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$3.5812h ago
- TRADESELLWill Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$9.2312h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$11.5012h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?$39.2218h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$1.0118h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$115.8318h ago
- TRADESELLWill Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$2.4318h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?$15.5218h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?$12.0518h ago
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$390.5419h ago
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$32.7819h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$8.5519h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$0.1919h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$83.4719h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$1.7019h ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $35.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 2d ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.