0x13136bb8040d8ab1dc1e84727bcecf17e0cf8174
0x13136bb8040d8ab1dc1e84727bcecf17e0cf8174
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
5627 shares @ 38.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-2.2K
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
5278 shares @ 21.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- RICO
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven
3177 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-222.40
- FLAVIO COBOLLI
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev
1429 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-385.89
- YES
Will JUP be below $0.40 one day after airdrop?
1160 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2024$0.00
$-232.09
- DIANA SHNAIDER
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska
769 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- NO
Will Oleksandr Usyk beat Tyson Fury in Ring of Fire?
647 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2024$0.00
$-355.71
- NO
Bitcoin new all time high by Friday?
521 shares @ 58.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2024$0.00
$-304.72
- NO
Will Usyk beat Fury?
442 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2024$0.00
$-216.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$150.10Jun 15, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$998.00Jun 13, 21:59 UTC
- TRADESELLSet Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Cobolli (+2.5)$688.25Jun 7, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev$394.34Jun 7, 16:19 UTC
- TRADESELLSet Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Cobolli (+2.5)$394.90Jun 7, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSet Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Cobolli (+2.5)$696.61Jun 7, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska$405.76Jun 4, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marta Kostyuk win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$1.5KJun 4, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marta Kostyuk win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$990.37Jun 4, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marta Kostyuk win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$3.44Jun 3, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?$626.83May 29, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?$519.46May 29, 14:28 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$518.98May 28, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$496.00May 27, 15:11 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$496.95May 26, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$456.33May 25, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYGlory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven$228.60May 23, 21:42 UTC
- REWARD$3.65Apr 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$157.79Apr 12, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$42.87Apr 12, 19:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $247.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 18:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 18:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.