Sneaky-Hydrofoil
0x132d78f1b3e213ad11c140aee693aa4407aab771
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.50
Total PnL
$-216.54
Realised
$2.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Wilton Simpson be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C or below on April 18?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 28?
2466 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.47
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $40 on May 7?
2331 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.33
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on May 6?
2061 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.06
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on April 28?
2050 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on May 7?
2038 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.04
- YES
Will White House post 60-79 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Trump post "Spain" this week on Truth Social?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
1817 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.82
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next?$3.82Jul 21, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$15.40Jul 20, 10:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oliver Suvanto be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?$0.01Jun 4, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$15.00Jun 3, 16:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$15.34Jun 3, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oliver Suvanto be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?$0.14Jun 3, 09:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "You, Me & Tuscany" be the April film with the highest domestic gross on May 31?$0.64May 25, 01:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Mother Mary" be the April film with the highest domestic gross on May 31?$0.04May 24, 17:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Lorne" be the April film with the highest domestic gross on May 31?$0.12May 24, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$15.20May 20, 18:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mohammed Kudus be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?$0.12May 18, 06:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liam Delap be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?$0.39May 15, 06:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yoane Wissa be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?$0.41May 15, 06:14 UTC
- REWARD$8.93May 15, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1.01May 14, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$1.62May 14, 08:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?$19.36May 14, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?$26.79May 14, 06:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?$2.32May 14, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?$2.41May 14, 06:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $12.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 14:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 06:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.