Neat-Aspect
0x136487676c9da47686dab31244fdb30c8cec91c3
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
86
Open notional
$79.94
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-0.01
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 86- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 47.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$50.00
$26.25
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 25?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$10.00
$5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$10.00
$5.00
- NO
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.98
$0.02
- NO
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.96
$0.03
- YES
Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 49.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-24.61
- YES
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 2, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.