Polite-Gazebo
0x136b279fab5e0a3e9fd07c1c716b8d95de2d7d46
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
88
Open notional
$6.94
Total PnL
$-940.21
Realised
$-1.92
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 88- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
7 shares @ 89.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$6.94
$0.71
- YES
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
3333 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-6.67
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
1462 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-87.70
- YES
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- TEAM VITALITY
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega
297 shares @ 23.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-69.86
- HAVENS
Counter-Strike: HAVENs vs Nebula In Chaox (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage
227 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-20.40
- UP
Solana Up or Down - April 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
194 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-7.74
- KARMINE CORP BLUE
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Solary (BO1) - LFL Regular Season
164 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-19.72
- R2 ESPORTS CLUB
Counter-Strike: R2 Esports Club vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffs
161 shares @ 44.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-71.41
- TEAM HERETICS
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics - Map 1 Winner
153 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-29.12
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$7.95Apr 17, 20:05 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Vexa (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffs$14.18Apr 17, 20:05 UTC
- REDEEMValorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha$0.69Apr 17, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner$0.90Apr 17, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Phantom vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage$1.30Apr 17, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$7.00Apr 17, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5PM ET$7.03Apr 17, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Phantom vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner$8.10Apr 17, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$8.51Apr 17, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$42.58Apr 17, 07:06 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.52Apr 17, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Vexa (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffs$10.56Apr 16, 22:00 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Vexa (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffs$9.57Apr 16, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Vexa (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffs$9.68Apr 16, 21:59 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Vexa (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffs$10.44Apr 16, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$5.92Apr 16, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$5.52Apr 16, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: R2 Esports Club vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffs$9.28Apr 16, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$5.88Apr 16, 21:58 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: R2 Esports Club vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffs$10.85Apr 16, 21:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $7.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 21:32 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 17, 20:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".