Excited-Thesis
0x13b62d706cd10a3615494e566082b327aac4ba85
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$-14.53
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- UNDER
Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 2.5
983 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$983.00
$471.84
- YES
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
281 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$281.00
$73.06
- YES
Rihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026?
15 shares @ 57.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.88
$-3.67
- NO
Will Leavitt say "Baby" or "Pregnant" during the next White House press briefing?
1109 shares @ 82.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-915.51
- YES
CA Osasuna vs. RCD Mallorca: Draw at halftime?
788 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-315.20
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - February 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
707 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-622.16
- NO
Will Joachim Trier be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
668 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-367.40
- YES
Will MrBeast say "Dollar" 10+ times during his next YouTube video?
470 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-305.50
- NO
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?
367 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-139.46
- YES
Will "The Housemaid" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?
264 shares @ 45.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-119.86
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$207.94Apr 7, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYQuerétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 2.5$511.16Apr 7, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by March 31?$4.00Apr 7, 05:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 21?$30.00Apr 7, 05:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$671.00Apr 7, 05:23 UTC
- TRADESELLRihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026?$14.95Mar 30, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYRihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026?$21.66Mar 23, 01:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin outperform Gold in March 2026?$19.52Mar 22, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin outperform Gold in March 2026?$1.84Mar 21, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 21?$19.50Mar 21, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin outperform Gold in March 2026?$40.26Mar 20, 21:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?$60.50Mar 18, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?$60.50Mar 16, 18:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$0.64Mar 12, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Black Mirror win Best Producer of a TV Limited or Anthology Series at the 37th PGA Awards?$29.00Mar 12, 02:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by March 31?$19.24Mar 10, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by March 31?$25.20Mar 7, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYCA Osasuna vs. RCD Mallorca: Draw at halftime?$128.80Mar 7, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYCA Osasuna vs. RCD Mallorca: Draw at halftime?$186.40Mar 7, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Dollar" 10+ times during his next YouTube video?$110.50Mar 7, 02:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $90.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 15, 00:38 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 7, 20:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.