Rihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026?
Probability
43¢
1h
-2.5pp
24h
+0.5pp
24h Vol
$2.00
Liquidity
$2.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
+1.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5982h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 14.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5982.4h
- 17:34SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 5982h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+1.0pp over the last 24h, now 44¢.
Biggest hourly move: +5.5pp at 2d ago (to 45¢).
Show all 8 hour-by-hour ticks
- 13:00 · +3.5pp → 45¢
- 2d ago · +4.0pp → 43¢
- 2d ago · +4.5pp → 42¢
- 2d ago · +3.5pp → 42¢
- 2d ago · +5.0pp → 44¢
- 2d ago · +5.5pp → 45¢
- 2d ago · +3.5pp → 43¢
- 2d ago · +4.0pp → 45¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rihanna announces that she is pregnant between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only credible announcements will qualify. Pregnancy announcements that are not credible, for example jokes, will not suffice. The resolution source will be statements from Rihanna or her representatives; however, a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not stated explicitly — read the full market rules below.
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Wide spread (14.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.